As most people who read this know, I am not a fan of tax returns. It makes me feel like the government has been holding my money hostage all year.
Recently I read a blog post over on I Will Teach You To Be Rich (A blog which, frankly, I read just to find reasons to be annoyed, it seems), regarding tax refunds. In that article he basically said that all of us who say getting a tax refund is bad are morons.
However, there are 3 problems with your advice:
1. Your advice is totally unrealistic as Americans spend whatever they have
2. Americans don’t understand withholding, despite your repeated exhortations to “change your withholding!” Perhaps you don’t realize that those words sound like COMPLETE GIBBERISH
3. Most people would rather get money back than pay it — numbers be damned
Needless to say, I think he's selling the average American short. Sure, the mental aspect of money is true, and most of us WOULD rather get a big refund, rather than RISK owing money. I get that.
If that wasn't 100% true, then I would choose to pay NO federal tax via withholding and would pay in quarterly just enough to tide the government over, and then pay my balance every April. I don't want to be writing checks to the government all the time, though, even if I WOULD get the most interest that way. So I aim to break even.
However, the fact that we naturally want to avoid paying money doesn't mean that people "don't understand withholding." I DO think it means people are afraid of not having the money set aside to cover the bill.
And I think that's changing in America, daily.
They say that today's graduating seniors will be the most frugal generation since the Great Depression. We are introducing to the world a generation of people who know what it means to overspend, be in debt, have homes and cars repossessed, have no job and trouble making ends meet every day. A generation that understands "emergency funds," and "planning to spend."
More importantly, that lesson is being hammered into people like myself. I no longer have fear of "what if I owe on my taxes?" I know that IF I owe on my taxes, I WILL have the money in savings because I PUT the money into savings. Every month I pay myself. Others who have gone through bankruptcy or who have crawled their way out of debt biting and scratching have no fear of OWING money. The power to pay it is in their hands, after all.
By the same token, I think the belief that Americans will spend all their money is short-sighted and pessimistic. Again, I believe that those of us who would rather spend $0.70 and pocket $0.30 are gaining a voice, forming a crowd, and will be rewriting the book on "normal" spending habits.
So with that change I predict a growing change in the coming years, with the average refund decreasing.
The tax system as we know was established, after all, to "force" Americans to save. It didn't really work, as not too long ago, savings in America were at an all time low. For many, tax returns weren't treated like savings. They were being used to PAY CREDIT CARDS and LOANS and CONSUMER DEBT. So. The government holds your money, interest free, while you incur debt at...well, in my case, 30% interest. Not really a great savings plan.
Those who don't have debt often do treat it like a windfall, and they run out and spend it (hello? You can now have your tax return put on a debit card?!?! Some savings plan!!). They make a major purchase. Not necessarily getting a good deal because they haven't been shopping around or planning or waiting for the right moment. They get a "surprise" check in the mail and they run out for a new television, a new mattress, a new car. You name it. With the joy of a lottery winner.
Eventually, though, the wiser, frugal movement will spread. And even the most carefree American will understand that, if you can tuck that money away, even at 1% interest, and HAVE it available for when the television goes on sale (perhaps on Black Friday, when tax returns are long since spent?), then it's a win-win.
Would I enjoy finding out that I miscalculated and the government owes me $2000? Of course.
Do I REALLY enjoy knowing that I have $2000 more in my savings TODAY then I did a year ago, and it's been earning interest all along?
You betcha!